UPDATED: 04-09-26 09:31 PDT

women Pace 2
  
Pace                  
W-L: ( 9- 4) PR = 91.4854

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 221 H Dominican (NY) CACC ( 6- 3, 88.5) 10- 9 228 H Kutztown PSAC ( 7- 5, 90.9) 12- 8 307 H West Chester PSAC (11- 2, 93.3) 15-16 309 H Tampa Sunshine ( 8- 4, 95.1) 8-16 312 A St Anselm Northeast 10 ( 8- 4, 88.7) 16-12 317 H St Leo Sunshine (12- 3, 95.0) 10-13 321 H Franklin Pierce Northeast 10 ( 4- 8, 84.0) 18- 3 325 A Adelphi Northeast 10 ( 8- 4, 92.0) 8-18 328 H American International Northeast 10 ( 1-10, 72.5) 23- 2 331 H Southern New Hampshire Northeast 10 ( 5- 7, 85.2) 15- 8 402 A Mercy East Coast (10- 2, 90.6) 8- 6 404 H Southern Connecticut Northeast 10 (10- 2, 88.7) 16- 8 408 H Assumption Northeast 10 ( 2- 8, 84.2) 19- 2 411 A St Michaels Northeast 10 ( 2-10, 82.8) 418 A Bentley Northeast 10 ( 5- 6, 87.4) 422 A Molloy East Coast ( 4- 8, 81.0)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 H Dominican (NY)         10- 9       1     3    -     -2.35
   228 H Kutztown               12- 8       4     1    +      2.97
   307 H West Chester           15-16      -1    -1           0.38
   309 H Tampa                   8-16      -8    -3          -1.80
   312 A St Anselm              16-12       4     2           1.58
   317 H St Leo                 10-13      -3    -3           0.06
   321 H Franklin Pierce        18- 3      15     8           0.00
   325 A Adelphi                 8-18     -10    -1    --    -4.10
   328 H American International 23- 2      21    19           0.00
   331 H Southern New Hampshire 15- 8       7     7           0.00
   402 A Mercy                   8- 6       2     0           1.57
   404 H Southern Connecticut   16- 8       8     3           1.77
   408 H Assumption             19- 2      17     8           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Adelphi                 8-18     -10    -1    --    -4.10
   221 H Dominican (NY)         10- 9       1     3    -     -2.35

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 H Kutztown               12- 8       4     1    +      2.97

Pace Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Adelphi Adelphi Adelphi  
Alabama-Huntsville Pace tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pace
American International Pace Pace  
Anderson (SC) Pace   Pace
Ashland Pace   Pace
Assumption Pace Pace  
Barton Pace   Pace
Belmont Abbey Pace   Pace
Bentley Pace Pace   6- 2 vs 3- 5
Bloomsburg Pace insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Pace
Bridgeport Pace insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Pace
Caldwell Pace insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Pace
Catawba Pace   Pace
Charleston Pace   Pace
Chestnut Hill Pace insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Pace
Chowan Pace   Pace
Coker Pace tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Pace
Colorado Mesa Pace tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pace
Colorado-Colorado Spring Pace   Pace
Concordia-St Paul Pace   Pace
Converse Pace insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Pace
CSU-Pueblo Pace   Pace
D'Youville Pace insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Pace
Daemen Pace Pace   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Davenport Pace   Pace
Davis & Elkins Pace   Pace
District of Columbia Pace   Pace
Dominican (CA) Pace insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Pace
Dominican (NY) Pace Pace  
East Stroudsburg East Stroudsburg East Stroudsburg   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Edinboro Pace   Pace
Embry-Riddle Embry-Riddle   Embry-Riddle
Emmanuel (GA) Pace   Pace
Emory & Henry Pace   Pace
Felician Pace Pace   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Findlay Pace   Pace
Flagler Flagler insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Flagler
Florida Southern Florida Southern Florida Southern   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Florida Tech Pace insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Pace
Fort Lewis Pace   Pace
Franklin Pierce Pace Pace  
Frostburg State Pace insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Pace
Gannon Pace   Pace
Georgian Court Pace insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Pace
Grand Valley State Pace   Pace
Holy Family Pace   Pace
Indiana (PA) Pace insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Pace
Indianapolis Indianapolis insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Indianapolis
Kutztown Pace Pace  
Lake Erie Pace   Pace
Lander Pace tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pace
Lee Pace tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pace
Lees-McRae Pace   Pace
Lenoir-Rhyne Pace   Pace
Lewis Pace   Pace
Limestone Pace   Pace
Lincoln Memorial Pace tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pace
Lock Haven Pace   Pace
Lynn Lynn Lynn   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Malone Pace   Pace
Mars Hill Pace   Pace
Maryville Maryville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Maryville
McKendree Pace   Pace
Mercy Pace Pace  
Millersville Pace insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Pace
Missouri Western Pace   Pace
Molloy Pace Pace   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Montevallo Pace tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pace
Mount Olive Pace   Pace
New Haven Pace   Pace
Newberry Pace   Pace
North Greenville Pace   Pace
Northern Michigan Pace   Pace
Northwood Pace   Pace
Palm Beach Atlantic Pace insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Pace
Post Pace   Pace
Quincy Pace insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Pace
Regis (CO) Pace   Pace
Roberts Wesleyan Pace Pace   6- 0 vs 1- 5
Rockhurst Pace   Pace
Rollins Pace tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Pace
Saginaw Valley State Pace   Pace
Seton Hill Pace   Pace
Shepherd Pace tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pace
Shippensburg Pace insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Pace
Shorter Pace   Pace
Slippery Rock Slippery Rock insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Slippery Rock
Southern Connecticut Pace Pace  
Southern New Hampshire Pace Pace  
Southern Wesleyan Pace   Pace
St Anselm Pace Pace  
St Leo St Leo St Leo  
St Michaels Pace Pace   6- 2 vs 1- 7
St Thomas Aquinas Pace Pace   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Tampa Tampa Tampa  
Thomas Jefferson Pace Pace   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Thomas More Pace   Pace
Tiffin Pace   Pace
Tusculum Pace   Pace
Ursuline Pace   Pace
UVA Wise Pace   Pace
Virginia State Pace   Pace
Walsh Pace   Pace
West Chester West Chester West Chester  
West Virginia Wesleyan Pace   Pace
Westminster (UT) Pace   Pace
Wheeling Pace   Pace
William Jewell Pace   Pace
Wilmington (DE) Pace insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Pace
Wingate Wingate tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wingate
Young Harris Pace   Pace

PowerWise = 98


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.04

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Dominican (NY)  ( 6- 3, 88.5)    10- 9      -11.36      21.83      -0.41         0.85            18.18
   0 H Kutztown        ( 7- 5, 90.9)    12- 8       -9.04      24.15      -0.41         0.85            20.16
   0 H West Chester    (11- 2, 93.3)    15-16       -6.63      26.56      -0.41         0.85            -5.97
   0 H Tampa           ( 8- 4, 95.1)     8-16       -4.81      28.38      -0.41         0.85            -4.43
   0 A St Anselm       ( 8- 4, 88.7)    16-12      -11.24      21.95       0.41         0.85            18.98
   0 H St Leo          (12- 3, 95.0)    10-13       -4.95      28.24      -0.41         0.85            -4.55
   0 H Franklin Pierc  ( 4- 8, 84.0)    18- 3      -15.90      17.29      -0.41         0.85            14.34
   0 A Adelphi         ( 8- 4, 92.0)     8-18       -7.92      25.27       0.41         0.85            -6.38
   0 H American Inter  ( 1-10, 72.5)    23- 2      -27.45       5.74      -0.41         0.85             4.53
   0 H Southern New H  ( 5- 7, 85.2)    15- 8      -14.70      18.49      -0.41         0.85            15.35
   0 A Mercy           (10- 2, 90.6)     8- 6       -9.25      23.94       0.41         0.85            20.67
   0 H Southern Conne  (10- 2, 88.7)    16- 8      -11.24      21.95      -0.41         0.85            18.29
   0 H Assumption      ( 2- 8, 84.2)    19- 2      -15.66      17.53      -0.41         0.85            14.53
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       123.71

winning pts = 145.0269 losing points = -21.3218

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------