Pace 
W-L: ( 9- 4) PR = 91.4854
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
221 H Dominican (NY) CACC ( 6- 3, 88.5) 10- 9
228 H Kutztown PSAC ( 7- 5, 90.9) 12- 8
307 H West Chester PSAC (11- 2, 93.3) 15-16
309 H Tampa Sunshine ( 8- 4, 95.1) 8-16
312 A St Anselm Northeast 10 ( 8- 4, 88.7) 16-12
317 H St Leo Sunshine (12- 3, 95.0) 10-13
321 H Franklin Pierce Northeast 10 ( 4- 8, 84.0) 18- 3
325 A Adelphi Northeast 10 ( 8- 4, 92.0) 8-18
328 H American International Northeast 10 ( 1-10, 72.5) 23- 2
331 H Southern New Hampshire Northeast 10 ( 5- 7, 85.2) 15- 8
402 A Mercy East Coast (10- 2, 90.6) 8- 6
404 H Southern Connecticut Northeast 10 (10- 2, 88.7) 16- 8
408 H Assumption Northeast 10 ( 2- 8, 84.2) 19- 2
411 A St Michaels Northeast 10 ( 2-10, 82.8)
418 A Bentley Northeast 10 ( 5- 6, 87.4)
422 A Molloy East Coast ( 4- 8, 81.0)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
221 H Dominican (NY) 10- 9 1 3 - -2.35
228 H Kutztown 12- 8 4 1 + 2.97
307 H West Chester 15-16 -1 -1 0.38
309 H Tampa 8-16 -8 -3 -1.80
312 A St Anselm 16-12 4 2 1.58
317 H St Leo 10-13 -3 -3 0.06
321 H Franklin Pierce 18- 3 15 8 0.00
325 A Adelphi 8-18 -10 -1 -- -4.10
328 H American International 23- 2 21 19 0.00
331 H Southern New Hampshire 15- 8 7 7 0.00
402 A Mercy 8- 6 2 0 1.57
404 H Southern Connecticut 16- 8 8 3 1.77
408 H Assumption 19- 2 17 8 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
325 A Adelphi 8-18 -10 -1 -- -4.10
221 H Dominican (NY) 10- 9 1 3 - -2.35
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
228 H Kutztown 12- 8 4 1 + 2.97
|
Pace Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Adelphi |
Adelphi |
Adelphi |
 
| |
| Alabama-Huntsville |
Pace |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Pace |
| American International |
Pace |
Pace |
 
| |
| Anderson (SC) |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Ashland |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Assumption |
Pace |
Pace |
 
| |
| Barton |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Belmont Abbey |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Bentley |
Pace |
|
Pace   6- 2 vs 3- 5 |
|
| Bloomsburg |
Pace |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Pace |
| Bridgeport |
Pace |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Pace |
| Caldwell |
Pace |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Pace |
| Catawba |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Charleston |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Chestnut Hill |
Pace |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Pace |
| Chowan |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Coker |
Pace |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Pace |
| Colorado Mesa |
Pace |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Pace |
| Colorado-Colorado Spring |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Concordia-St Paul |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Converse |
Pace |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Pace |
| CSU-Pueblo |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| D'Youville |
Pace |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Pace |
| Daemen |
Pace |
|
Pace   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Davenport |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Davis & Elkins |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| District of Columbia |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Dominican (CA) |
Pace |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Pace |
| Dominican (NY) |
Pace |
Pace |
 
| |
| East Stroudsburg |
East Stroudsburg |
|
East Stroudsburg   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
| Edinboro |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Emmanuel (GA) |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Emory & Henry |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Felician |
Pace |
|
Pace   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
| Findlay |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Flagler |
Flagler |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Flagler |
| Florida Southern |
Florida Southern |
|
Florida Southern   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Florida Tech |
Pace |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) |
Pace |
| Fort Lewis |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Franklin Pierce |
Pace |
Pace |
 
| |
| Frostburg State |
Pace |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Pace |
| Gannon |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Georgian Court |
Pace |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Pace |
| Grand Valley State |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Holy Family |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Indiana (PA) |
Pace |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Pace |
| Indianapolis |
Indianapolis |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Indianapolis |
| Kutztown |
Pace |
Pace |
 
| |
| Lake Erie |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Lander |
Pace |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Pace |
| Lee |
Pace |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Pace |
| Lees-McRae |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Lenoir-Rhyne |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Lewis |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Limestone |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Lincoln Memorial |
Pace |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Pace |
| Lock Haven |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Lynn |
Lynn |
|
Lynn   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
| Malone |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Mars Hill |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Maryville |
Maryville |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Maryville |
| McKendree |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Mercy |
Pace |
Pace |
 
| |
| Millersville |
Pace |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Pace |
| Missouri Western |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Molloy |
Pace |
|
Pace   4- 1 vs 1- 4 |
|
| Montevallo |
Pace |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Pace |
| Mount Olive |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| New Haven |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Newberry |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| North Greenville |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Northern Michigan |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Northwood |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Palm Beach Atlantic |
Pace |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Pace |
| Post |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Quincy |
Pace |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Pace |
| Regis (CO) |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Roberts Wesleyan |
Pace |
|
Pace   6- 0 vs 1- 5 |
|
| Rockhurst |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Rollins |
Pace |
|
tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) |
Pace |
| Saginaw Valley State |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Seton Hill |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Shepherd |
Pace |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Pace |
| Shippensburg |
Pace |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Pace |
| Shorter |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Slippery Rock |
Slippery Rock |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Slippery Rock |
| Southern Connecticut |
Pace |
Pace |
 
| |
| Southern New Hampshire |
Pace |
Pace |
 
| |
| Southern Wesleyan |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| St Anselm |
Pace |
Pace |
 
| |
| St Leo |
St Leo |
St Leo |
 
| |
| St Michaels |
Pace |
|
Pace   6- 2 vs 1- 7 |
|
| St Thomas Aquinas |
Pace |
|
Pace   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Tampa |
Tampa |
Tampa |
 
| |
| Thomas Jefferson |
Pace |
|
Pace   4- 0 vs 2- 2 |
|
| Thomas More |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Tiffin |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Tusculum |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Ursuline |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| UVA Wise |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Virginia State |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Walsh |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| West Chester |
West Chester |
West Chester |
 
| |
| West Virginia Wesleyan |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Westminster (UT) |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Wheeling |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| William Jewell |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Wilmington (DE) |
Pace |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Pace |
| Wingate |
Wingate |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Wingate |
| Young Harris |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
PowerWise = 98

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.04
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Dominican (NY) ( 6- 3, 88.5) 10- 9 -11.36 21.83 -0.41 0.85 18.18
0 H Kutztown ( 7- 5, 90.9) 12- 8 -9.04 24.15 -0.41 0.85 20.16
0 H West Chester (11- 2, 93.3) 15-16 -6.63 26.56 -0.41 0.85 -5.97
0 H Tampa ( 8- 4, 95.1) 8-16 -4.81 28.38 -0.41 0.85 -4.43
0 A St Anselm ( 8- 4, 88.7) 16-12 -11.24 21.95 0.41 0.85 18.98
0 H St Leo (12- 3, 95.0) 10-13 -4.95 28.24 -0.41 0.85 -4.55
0 H Franklin Pierc ( 4- 8, 84.0) 18- 3 -15.90 17.29 -0.41 0.85 14.34
0 A Adelphi ( 8- 4, 92.0) 8-18 -7.92 25.27 0.41 0.85 -6.38
0 H American Inter ( 1-10, 72.5) 23- 2 -27.45 5.74 -0.41 0.85 4.53
0 H Southern New H ( 5- 7, 85.2) 15- 8 -14.70 18.49 -0.41 0.85 15.35
0 A Mercy (10- 2, 90.6) 8- 6 -9.25 23.94 0.41 0.85 20.67
0 H Southern Conne (10- 2, 88.7) 16- 8 -11.24 21.95 -0.41 0.85 18.29
0 H Assumption ( 2- 8, 84.2) 19- 2 -15.66 17.53 -0.41 0.85 14.53
------
123.71
|
winning pts = 145.0269 losing points = -21.3218
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------